Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 306.394254 347.142364 392.565208 447.185790 511.389958 584.835149 675.740992
2025-06-22 239.662228 291.135533 353.693448 436.210485 543.526196 680.237142 870.629771
2025-06-29 206.041592 261.912121 333.800757 434.774627 575.718443 769.784159 1065.041718
2025-07-06 176.469173 231.923370 306.361284 416.008118 577.661643 814.377324 1201.440227
2025-07-13 165.037343 223.909070 306.220139 433.241436 631.006875 939.344609 1482.981699
2025-07-20 156.357101 218.225821 307.948227 452.410603 689.010421 1080.482653 1823.201736
2025-07-27 145.017550 207.165790 300.062729 455.061610 720.116204 1181.908967 2117.137248
2025-08-03 132.269162 192.571635 284.973055 443.767149 725.341347 1238.029290 2337.165262
2025-08-10 121.949595 180.671056 272.736543 435.378149 733.829812 1300.711011 2585.604143
2025-08-17 117.147824 176.941971 273.112746 448.360687 782.743940 1449.688306 3064.105220
2025-08-24 110.148533 169.004810 265.663285 446.371388 802.605027 1543.217783 3441.075939
2025-08-31 103.019087 160.249231 255.972841 439.034775 810.581244 1612.586335 3778.714269
2025-09-07 97.679646 154.240892 250.766699 440.055373 836.979315 1731.045529 4297.242202
2025-09-14 91.131661 145.689135 240.354610 429.917433 838.476295 1792.776742 4680.563761
2025-09-21 86.478458 140.064934 234.697353 428.474264 858.661831 1904.129043 5259.597921
2025-09-28 79.969193 130.699937 221.394672 410.039661 837.690670 1906.885961 5488.680997
2025-10-05 78.578338 130.394078 224.963613 426.969785 901.637759 2148.285730 6653.887766
2025-10-12 77.448056 130.456175 229.200451 445.798672 973.539841 2431.485515 8140.014306
2025-10-19 74.526643 126.974272 226.214337 448.402366 1005.274518 2606.513833 9296.758883
2025-10-26 70.361421 120.877391 217.561115 437.309054 999.722336 2666.172644 9983.431241
2025-11-02 66.806881 115.733153 210.459522 429.068734 1000.656534 2747.524139 10828.111519
2025-11-09 65.571039 114.977454 212.252317 441.820917 1061.344156 3044.553797 12980.604920
2025-11-16 63.019882 111.486105 208.090069 439.867012 1080.240698 3203.147638 14515.550011